Steelers vs. Bills odds, picks, how to watch, live stream: Top 2021 Week 1 NFL predictions from advanced model

Written by on September 12, 2021

A must-see matchup is on tap on Sunday when Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills host Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Bills won the AFC East last season with a 13-3 record in the regular season. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, topped the AFC North after going 12-4 in 2020. The Steelers will enter Sunday’s contest confident they can secure the victory on the road. That’s because Pittsburgh has dominated this series over the years, winning 10 of its last 13 meetings against Buffalo.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at Bills Stadium in Buffalo. Caesars Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Bills odds, while the over-under for total points is 48. In select markets, Sunday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

How to watch Steelers vs. Bills

  • Date: Sunday, Sept. 12
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS 
  • Streaming: Paramount+

Week 1 NFL picks for Bills vs. Steelers

Before you tune in to Sunday’s Bills vs. Steelers game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Steelers vs. Bills, the model is backing the under (48) to hit with room to spare. The model is predicting both teams to combine for 45 total points, resulting in the under hitting in nearly 60 percent of simulations. 

The Steelers featured one of the league’s stingiest defenses last season, giving up just 19.5 points per game, which ranked third in the NFL. Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt led the league with 15 sacks last season, while teammate Stephon Tuitt added 11. Pittsburgh’s dynamic defensive duo constantly creates pressure on the opposing quarterback, which allowed opponents to throw for just 194.4 yards per game in 2020. 

The model has also taken into account that the total has gone under in 14 of Pittsburgh’s last 20 games on the road. In addition, the total has gone under in each of the last five games when Buffalo has played an opponent from the AFC North. 

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more

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