Manchester United vs. Burnley prediction, odds: Soccer expert reveals English Premier League picks for Dec. 30

Manchester United needs to get back on track quickly when it hosts Burnley on Thursday in an English Premier League match at Old Trafford. The Red Devils (8-4-5) looked listless in a 1-1 draw with Newcastle on Monday, and they have had little time to recover. Manchester United appeared to be getting it together under interim manager Ralf Rangnick, but he was not happy with his team’s performance Monday. Burnley (1-8-6) has been the master of the draw and is well-rested, with its last game coming on Dec. 12. Burnley has lost once in its last six games (1-4-1).

Kickoff is set for 3:15 p.m. ET in Manchester, England. Caesars Sportsbook lists Manchester United as the -260 favorite (risk $260 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Manchester United vs. Burnley odds, with Burnley the +750 underdog. A draw is listed at +370 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you lock in your Burnley vs. Manchester United picks or make any English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down Burnley vs. Manchester United from every angle and revealed his coveted picks and EPL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Manchester United vs. Burnley:

• Manchester United vs. Burnley spread: Man U -1.5 (+105)
• Manchester United vs. Burnley over-under: 2.5 goals
• Manchester United vs. Burnley money line: Man U -260, Burnley +750, Draw +270
• MAN: David de Gea is second in the Premier League in saves (57)
• BUR: Maxwel Cornet is second in the EPL in goals per 90 minutes (0.80)

Why you should back Manchester United

Rangnick took over a month ago, but Monday’s match was Manchester United’s first since Dec. 11. United has 1-0 wins against Crystal Palace and Norwich City and a draw with Young Boys in a Champions League match under his direction. His approach has been to play low-scoring games, with the focus on bolstering the defense. United has scored 27 goals but conceded 25, with David de Gea repeatedly making spectacular saves. United is 8-4-1 in its last 13 meetings with the Clarets, and Burnley has just one Premier League win at Old Trafford.       

The Red Devils have plenty of attacking talent, and they possessed the ball for 69 percent of Monday’s match. They hold the ball 53.7 percent of the time (sixth in EPL), while Burnley holds the ball at less than 40 percent (18th). Cristiano Ronaldo has seven goals this season, while Mason Greenwood (four goals) and Marcus Rashford (two) bring excellent pace and creativity. 

Why you should back Burnley 

The Clarets have a clear fitness advantage, as they had more than two weeks off while Manchester United had less than 72 hours. Burnley has allowed the fewest goals (21) among bottom-half EPL teams, and fewer than three of the top seven. Rangnick has been playing not to lose, so the Clarets should be able to minimize Manchester United’s attacking threats. 

Burnley holds opponents to a shots-on-target percentage of 25.6, the best mark in the Premier League. United dominated possession Monday, but both teams had 13 shots, and Newcastle had an 8-4 advantage in attempts on target. The Red Devils also looked rusty in Monday’s match, and that shouldn’t be an issue for a Burnley squad that plays a physical game focused on defense. 

How to make Burnley vs. Manchester United picks

Green has analyzed Manchester United vs. Burnley from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, including a strong play on one side, and gives his full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Burnley vs. Manchester United? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Manchester United vs. Burnley, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.