Lakers vs. Suns odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Oct. 22 predictions from model on 100-66 roll

Written by on October 22, 2021

Prominent Western Conference contenders match up on Friday evening at Staples Center as the Phoenix Suns visit the Los Angeles Lakers in an important early-season clash. Both teams opened the 2021-22 season with losses. Phoenix fell to the Denver Nuggets, while Los Angeles lost to the Golden State Warriors on the first night of the regular season.

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Los Angeles. Caesars Sportsbook lists this game as a pick’em, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 221 in the latest Suns vs. Lakers odds. Before making any Lakers vs. Suns picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model finished up almost $600 on its top-rated picks last season and enters the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Suns and just revealed its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and trends for Suns vs. Lakers:

  • Suns vs. Lakers spread: Pick’em
  • Suns vs. Lakers over-under: 221 points
  • Suns vs. Lakers money line: Lakers -110, Suns -110
  • PHX: The Suns are 25-21-1 against the spread in the last 47 road games
  • LA:: The Lakers are 15-26 against the spread in the last 41 home games

Featured Game | Los Angeles Lakers vs. Phoenix Suns

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix was one of the best offensive teams in the NBA a season ago, with top-tier talent and elite efficiency. Devin Booker and Chris Paul form one of the best backcourts in the league, and the Suns finished in the top four of the NBA in both assists (26.9 per game) and turnover rate (12.6 percent). In fact, Phoenix led the league in assist-to-turnover ratio (2.15), and the Suns were also a top-three team in field-goal percentage, 2-point percentage and free-throw percentage.

All told, the Suns finished No. 7 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring more than 1.16 points per possession, and they are dynamic. Defensively, Phoenix is also quite potent, posting the No. 6 defensive rating in the NBA last season. That effectiveness is headlined by top-five marks in both 3-point accuracy allowed (35.4 percent) and assists allowed (22.9 per game) last season.

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have a tremendous combination of star power and defensive aptitude, providing an impressive baseline for success. Los Angeles is led by three All-NBA players, with LeBron James putting up 34 points and 11 rebounds in the opener and Anthony Davis adding 33 points and 11 rebounds. Russell Westbrook is only a few months removed from averaging 22.2 points, 11.7 assists and 11.5 rebounds per game for the Wizards, and the Lakers can attack in myriad ways. 

Defensively, Los Angeles led the NBA in defensive rating last season, allowing fewer than 1.08 points per possession. The Lakers were a top-five team in turnover creation rate, shooting efficiency allowed and defensive rebound rate, leading the league in allowing only 11.3 second-chance points per game. Los Angeles has immense size and athleticism, with top-10 marks in blocks and free throw rate allowed in 2020-21.

How to make Suns vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 216 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Lakers vs. Suns? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out. 

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