Jazz vs. Mavericks prediction, odds: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 4 best bets from model on 86-56 run

A first-round Western Conference battle features the fifth-seed Utah Jazz hosting the fourth-seed Dallas Mavericks in the 2022 NBA Playoffs on Saturday afternoon. After dropping the first contest, Dallas has won two straight games to go up 2-1 in the series. Utah has been steady at home and went 29-12 this season. Luka Doncic (calf) has yet to play this series for Dallas and he’s considered questionable for Game 4.

Tipoff is at 4:30 p.m. ET at Vivint Arena. Caesars Sportsbook lists Utah at -5.5 in the latest Mavericks vs. Jazz odds, while the over-under for total points is set at 213. Before locking in any Jazz vs. Mavericks picks, you need to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the first full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-56 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Jazz, and just locked in its picks and NBA Playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Jazz vs. Mavs:

• Mavericks vs. Jazz spread: Utah -5.5
• Mavericks vs. Jazz over-under: 213 points
• Mavericks vs. Jazz money line: Dallas +190, Utah -230
• DAL: Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game
• UTA: Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference quarterfinals games

Why the Mavericks can cover

Dallas is coming off a stellar offensive showcase. The Mavs dropped 126 points, shot 49 percent from the field, and went 18-42 from 3-point land. Dallas had many players contribute on the offensive end, including seven players who reached double figures. Guard Jalen Brunson led the team with 31 points and five assists, and he’ll continue to be a big factor whether or not Doncic is able to return.

Dallas had great production off the bench in that contest. There were three players who scored 12-plus points. Forward Maxi Kleber finished with 17 points, three rebounds and knocked down four 3-pointers. Forward Davis Bertans recorded 15 points and went 4-for-7 from deep. Guard Josh Green then added 12 points and went 3-for-5 from downtown. 

Why the Jazz can cover

Guard Donovan Mitchell is an excellent scorer, defender and playmaker with terrific athleticism. Mitchell plays with elite balance and agility to blow by opposing defenders. The three-time All-Star can also barrel his way to the rim and finish through contact. Mitchell is averaging a team-best 32.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists per game. In his last game, Mitchell recorded 32 points and six assists.

Forward Bojan Bogdanovic is an elite 3-point shooter who can put the ball on the deck. Bogdanovic knows how to create space on the perimeter to consistently find open looks. The 2011 second-rounder is logging 25 points, 5.3 rebounds and is shooting 41 percent from 3-point land in the series. He’s scored 24-plus in three straight games, including 24 points and going 4-for-7 from beyond the arc in Game 3. 

How to make Mavericks vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s Jazz vs. Mavericks pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Jazz spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.