Chiefs vs. Ravens odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 121-79 roll
Written by Lucky Wilson | KGTO Writer on September 18, 2021
It’s a battle of AFC heavyweights in NFL Week 2 when the Baltimore Ravens host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. Former league MVP quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson experienced different results in Week 1. Mahomes, who won the award in 2018, led Kansas City back from a 12-point halftime deficit in a 33-29 victory against the Browns. Jackson, the 2019 honoree, lost two fumbles that cost the Ravens the game in a 33-27 overtime loss to the Raiders on Monday Night Football.
Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Ravens odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under for total points scored is 54.5. Before you consider your Ravens vs. Chiefs picks, you have to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 2 of the 2021 season on an incredible 121-79 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has broken down Sunday Night Football’s Ravens vs. Chiefs matchup. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are some betting lines and trends for Chiefs vs. Ravens:
- Chiefs vs. Ravens spread: Kansas City -3.5
- Chiefs vs. Ravens over-under: 54.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Ravens money line: Kansas City -200, Baltimore +170
- Chiefs: Road team is 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 meetings
- Ravens: 45-33-3 ATS as an underdog under John Harbaugh (since 2008)
Why the Chiefs can cover
Mahomes and the Chiefs haven’t skipped a beat and have their eyes on a third straight Super Bowl appearance. Mahomes is 3-0 head-to-head against Jackson and looked to be in midseason form while throwing for 337 yards and three touchdowns in Week 1. He is 11-0 with 37 TDs and no interceptions in September games during his career.
Tight end Travis Kelce and receiver Tyreek Hill are arguably the best at their positions and could have a field day against a Ravens defense that allowed a league-worst 409 passing yards in the Week 1 loss. Hill had 197 receiving yards last week, while Kelce had two touchdowns on his six receptions.
Why the Ravens can cover
Jackson is still electrifying, as the quarterback threw for 235 yards and ran for 86 last Monday. The Ravens have led the NFL in rushing in consecutive years and had a league-best 189 yards in Week 1 despite three running backs being out for the year. Ty’Son Williams had 65 on nine carries and could exploit a K.C. front that yielded 153 rushing yards against Cleveland. The Chiefs gave up 457 total yards, second-most to the Ravens’ 491, in the opener. Baltimore is 10-1 against the spread in its past 11 regular-season games as an underdog.
Jackson has plenty of weapons in the passing game, with tight end Mark Andrews and receivers Marquise Brown (questionable, ankle) and Sammy Watkins to keep defenses honest. Brown and Watkins combined for 10 catches for 165 yards last week.
How to make Chiefs vs. Ravens picks
The model has zeroed in on Ravens vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. The model is leaning Under the total, suggesting both offenses will be one-dimensional. It also says that one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations, and you can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Ravens vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Chiefs vs. Ravens spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 121-79 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.
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