2022 NFL playoff odds, picks, line: Chiefs vs. Steelers prediction, Wild Card bets from expert on 22-8 roll

NFL Wild Card Weekend 2022 features a jam-packed slate of six highly-intriguing games. On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a battle between the AFC’s No. 2 seed and No. 7 seed, respectively. Kansas City finished the regular season with a 12-5 record and a 7-2 mark at home. Pittsburgh was 9-7-1 overall with a 3-5 record in road contests.

Kick-off is at 8:15 p.m. ET in Kansas City. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 12.5-point home favorites, while the Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 46.5 in its latest Chiefs vs. Steelers odds. Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs picks and NFL playoff predictions, make sure you check out what red-hot SportsLine’s resident Chiefs expert, Larry Hartstein, has to say.

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. This season he has been on fire. Hartstein is 67-45 with his last 112 sides, for a profit of more than $1,600.

In addition, Hartstein has gone an astounding 22-8 on his last 30 picks involving Kansas City, returning $1300 to $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Steelers and just locked in his Wild Card playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and Wild Card betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:

• Chiefs vs. Steelers spread: Chiefs – 12.5 
• Chiefs vs. Steelers over-under: 46.5 points 
• Chiefs vs. Steelers moneyline: Chiefs -800, Steelers +550 
• PITT: Steelers are 4-2 against the spread in their last six games 
• KC: Chiefs are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh can take advantage of a shaky Kansas City defense . The Steelers are in the top 10 of the NFL in turnover avoidance, committing only 20 in 17 games, and the Steelers have only 11 interceptions, a top-eight figure in the league. That ball security is helpful against Kansas City, particularly with the Chiefs allowing 368.9 total yards per game. That is the sixth-worst mark in the NFL in total defense, and the Chiefs are also in the bottom six in pass defense, giving up 251.4 yards per game through the air. 

Kansas City has only 31 sacks this season, with opponents averaging 7.3 yards per pass attempt against the Chiefs. The Chiefs are also below-average against the run, giving up 117.6 yards per game and the second-worst mark in the NFL in yards per carry allowed (4.8). Kansas City is dead-last in yards allowed per drive and third-worst in yards allowed per play, with the No. 24 mark in first downs allowed and the No. 25 ranking in fourth down efficiency allowed.

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City’s offense is above reproach and elite in multiple categories. The Chiefs are averaging nearly 400 total yards per game, third-most in the NFL, and Kansas City is in the top five in scoring at 28.2 points per game. Kansas City leads the NFL with 419 first downs, with league-leading marks in yards per drive (39.7) and points per drive (2.72). The Chiefs are No. 2 in the NFL in scoring percentage, putting points on the board on 48.1 percent of drives, and rank in the top five in averaging 6.0 yards per play. 

The Chiefs are No. 4 in the NFL in passing offense, producing 281.8 yards per game through the air, and Kansas City has 37 passing touchdowns against only 25 sacks allowed. Kansas City is also in the top 10 in efficiency on the ground, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Kansas City leads the NFL in third down efficiency, converting 52.2 percent of opportunities, and the Chiefs also lead the league in converting fourth downs at 66.7 percent.

How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks

Hartstein has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he’s leaning over on the point total, he has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He’s only sharing what it is, and which side of the Chiefs vs. Steelers spread to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs in the NFL playoffs 2022? And what critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Hartstein’s Steelers vs. Chiefs picks, all from the NFL expert who’s 22-8 on picks involving Kansas City, and find out.