Chelsea vs. Southampton prediction, odds: Soccer expert reveals 2022 English Premier League picks for April 9

Faltering Chelsea will try to rebound from consecutive lopsided losses when it visits St. Mary’s on Saturday to face Southampton in an English Premier League match. The Blues (17-8-4) were routed 4-1 by 14th-place Brentford in their last league match last Saturday. They were then overpowered in a 3-1 loss to Real Madrid in their Champions League quarterfinal first-leg match Wednesday at Stamford Bridge. Southampton (8-12-10) has lost three of its last four but salvaged a 1-1 draw with Leeds in its most recent match last Saturday. Chelsea is trying to avoid having to fight for a top-four spot in the EPL table, as it sits third but is just five points ahead of Tottenham and Arsenal with nine games left.

Kickoff in Southampton, England is set for 10 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chelsea as the -111 favorite (risk $111 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Southampton vs. Chelsea odds, with Southampton the +300 underdog. A draw is priced at +265 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any Chelsea vs. Southampton picks or English Premier League predictions, you have to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the Southampton vs. Chelsea matchup from every angle and just revealed his coveted EPL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Chelsea vs. Southampton:

• Southampton vs. Chelsea spread: Chelsea -0.5 (-120)
• Southampton vs. Chelsea over-under: 2.5 goals 
• Southampton vs. Chelsea money line: Southampton +300, Chelsea -111, Draw +265 
• STH: MF James Ward-Prowse has 13 goals off 73 career free kicks (17.8 percent) 
• CHL: GK Edouard Mendy is second in save percentage (78.1) and has 11 clean sheets

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues are the more talented team and have played well on the road, winning six straight away from Stamford Bridge. They have won 10 of their 15 away games and are plus-20 in goal differential, conceding just nine. They should come out with a chip on their shoulder, and they have lost just once in the last 14 meetings with the Saints in all competitions. Chelsea needed penalties to win a League Cup match in October but won 3-1 at home a few weeks earlier. It could rest some key players for next week’s UCL rematch, but it has the depth to cover.

Chelsea has 13 players who have scored at least twice, and Mason Mount leads the way with eight goals and seven assists. Kai Havertz scored in the League Cup meeting and had a goal Wednesday. He has six in league play, but if he is kept out Saturday, USMNT star Christian Pulisic (four goals) could play a key role. The Saints have conceded 46 goals, nine of those in their last four games. Chelsea held 63 percent possession in the last meeting and had 23 shots.

Why you should back Southampton

The Saints always play the Blues tough, and they are 1-2-1 in the past four league meetings. Chelsea has allowed 11 of 25 shots to hit the target in the past two games, and James Ward-Prowse and Che Adams are both dangerous players for Southampton. Ward-Prowse (seven goals, four assists) is devastating on set pieces, and his goal on a free kick salvaged the point against Leeds. Adams has scored seven goals and set up three, and his pace is often a problem for defenders. He scored the lone goal in the League Cup matchup in October.    

Southampton also is a very strong home team, losing just three of its matches this season at St. Mary’s, with a plus-6 goal differential. It has allowed the fifth-fewest shots in the Premier League, and it has just seven fewer shots than Chelsea this season. Adam Armstrong has struggled to adapt to the EPL but had 44 goals the past two seasons with Blackburn. He is likely to replace Armando Broja, who has six goals but is on loan from the Blues and cannot play against them.   

How to make EPL and Southampton vs. Chelsea picks

Green has scrutinized the Southampton vs. Chelsea match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides two confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He’s only sharing his expert Premier League picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins Southampton vs. Chelsea in Saturday’s English Premier League matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Chelsea vs. Southampton match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated almost $35,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.