Bengals vs. Jaguars odds, line, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by model on 123-81 roll

Urban Meyer and the Jacksonville Jaguars will try to secure their first win of the season when they visit the Cincinnati Bengals on Thursday Night Football. It’s the first game of the Week 4 NFL schedule. Jacksonville has lost each game by at least 10 points so far, while Zac Taylor and the Bengals will try to win their second home game of the year and improve to 3-1.

Kickoff from Paul Brown Stadium is at 8:20 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is a 7.5-point favorite in the latest Jaguars vs. Bengals odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 46. Before locking in your Jaguars vs. Bengals picks, make sure to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Jaguars vs. Bengals 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bengals vs. Jaguars:

• Jaguars vs. Bengals spread: Bengals -7.5 
• Jaguars vs. Bengals over-under: 46 points 
• Jaguars vs. Bengals money line: Jacksonville +280, Cincinnati -350 
• CIN: Bengals are 6-2 against the spread in their last eight home games 
• JAX: Over is 5-0 in Jaguars’ last five games in Week 4 

Featured Game | Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why Bengals can cover

The Bengals’ defense has played extremely well through three weeks. Cincinnati is ranked No. 8 in total defense, allowing 317 yards. The Bengals are also ranked eighth against the run, allowing 78.3 yards. This defense has shown the ability to get after the quarterback as well. The Bengals have 10 sacks on the season, including four against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

This stifling defense is only allowing 18.0 points per game, ranking seventh in the league. The Bengals forced the Steelers’ Ben Roethlisberger to throw two interceptions and held their rivals to 10 points. Linebacker Logan Wilson snagged both interceptions while recording 14 total tackles, including six solo. 

Why Jaguars can cover

The Jaguars have struggled to stop the pass, allowing 302.3 yards through the air. Joe Burrow and the Bengals’ air attack will need to exploit the Jaguars’ secondary, and wide receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd will likely be the top two pass-catchers. Tee Higgins is dealing with a shoulder injury and his status for Thursday Night Football game is up in the air.

Chase leads the Bengals in receiving yards with 220 and a team-high four touchdowns. Boyd leads Cincinnati in catches with 14 for 141 yards and one touchdown. Boyd and Chase both have caught eight passes that have gone for first downs, helping keep the offense on the field. 

How to make Jaguars vs. Bengals picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see which side to back at SportsLine. 

So who wins Jaguars vs. Bengals on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Jaguars vs. Bengals spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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