2021 BMW Championship odds, FedEx Cup Playoff predictions: Expert reveals Jon Rahm, Collin Morikawa picks
Written by Lucky Wilson | KGTO Writer on August 25, 2021
The Baltimore area finally hosts another PGA Tour event starting Thursday as the 2021 FedEx Cup Playoffs continue with the 2021 BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club. This is the third-oldest tournament in golf, with only the U.S. Open and British Open contested longer, but the Baltimore area has not hosted a PGA Tour event since the 1962 Eastern Open. The unfamiliar course could open things up for an unlikely contender, but a star-studded 2021 BMW Championship field headlined by world No. 1 Jon Rahm will be fighting hard for FedEx Cup points. Fellow major champions like Dustin Johnson, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka also are expected to be in the thick of it.
Rahm comes in off his third straight top-five finish and is the 13-2 favorite in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest 2021 BMW Championship golf odds. Olympic gold medalist Xander Schauffele is getting 18-1 odds, followed by Johnson (20-1), Justin Thomas (20-1) and Jordan Spieth (20-1). Before locking in any BMW Championship 2021 bets or making any PGA Tour predictions, you have to see what proven golf insider Sal Johnson has to say.
The media legend and esteemed golf insider has a strong track record on picks, and he knows what it takes to win in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Before last year’s BMW Championship, he had both Rahm and Johnson in his best bets, and they battled into the playoff. Johnson had won by 11 strokes the previous week, but It was Rahm, whose game the golf expert noted had been “shaping up,” who came out on top with a dramatic birdie on the first extra hole.
And in 2019, he had Patrick Cantlay in his best bets and Thomas among his other top contenders. Johnson said Thomas’ game was “finally coming together after his wrist injury.” and he proved that by going 25 under at Medinah. He held off Cantlay, who was the runner-up after a 7-under 65 in the final round.
The golf expert has been on fire all season. He was one of the few to say Kevin Kisner had a legitimate chance before he got his first stroke-play win in more than four years at the Wyndham Championship. And before the Olympics, he had Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy and Hideki Matsuyama among his top five golfers. Schauffele won the gold medal for Team USA, while the other three made the playoff for the bronze. Anyone who has followed Johnson’s advice has cashed in huge.
Now Johnson, the first producer of “Inside the PGA Tour,” a longtime ABC Sports golf producer who worked with Jack Nicklaus and Arnold Palmer, and founder of the world’s top golf stats database, has released his highly confident 2021 BMW Championship golf picks, and they will surprise you. You can only see Johnson’s expert golf picks and FedEx Cup Playoffs predictions at SportsLine.
Top 2021 BMW Championship golf predictions
Shockingly, the golf expert is fading Rory McIlroy, even though he has won the FedEx Cup title twice (2016 and 2019). The Northern Irishman went 66-70 in the final two rounds at the Northern Trust, and that underscored his problems. He finished 43rd, and he has a stubborn habit of firing a round (or two) to derail his chances. The 32-year-old’s drought-breaking victory at the Wells Fargo was a positive sign, but he hasn’t been able to capitalize on it. His inconsistency makes him a player to avoid, and Johnson has numerous better options.
Johnson is also impressed with what he’s seen from Rahm this season. He’s overcome a pair of positive COVID-19 tests to put up some impressive results. He let a lead slip away at the Northern Trust and Johnson Rahm will “be looking for retribution” this week as the playoffs continue. He ranks first on the PGA Tour in strokes gained tee-to-green and he’s tied for second in greens in regulation. But if he wants to win this week, he’ll need to putt better. He’s only 87th in strokes gained via putting, so that’ll be his challenge this week at Caves Valley.
The golf expert also is impressed with Morikawa’s skills. The 24-year-old already has two major wins on his resume and has two victories and a runner-up this season. He had a run of four straight top-five finishes, including his British Open victory, before a T-26 at the St. Jude and a missed cut in Jersey City. Still, entering the Northern Trust, he led the tour in strokes gained tee-to-green and was fourth in scoring average (69.674). His ball-striking ability is almost unmatched, and he ranked second in greens in regulation, hitting almost 72 percent.
How to make 2021 BMW Championship golf picks
This week, Johnson is backing a massive long shot who comes in at well over 50-1. This veteran consistently and quietly hangs around inside the top 25 and is capable of pulling off a stunning victory. Anyone who backs this underdog could cash in huge. Head to SportsLine to see who it is.
Who wins the BMW Championship 2021? Where do Jon Rahm and Collin Morikawa finish? And which huge long shot is a must-back? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sal Johnson’s full leaderboard, picks and analysis for the 2021 BMW Championship, all from the insider who knows what it takes to win in playoffs, and find out.
2021 BMW Championship odds, field, top contenders (via Caesars)
Jon Rahm 13-2
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Dustin Johnson 20-1
Justin Thomas 20-1
Jordan Spieth 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Cameron Smith 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Brooks Koepka 25-1
Tony Finau 25-1
Bryson DeChambeau 28-1
Corey Conners 28-1
Rory McIlroy 28-1
Scottie Scheffler 28-1
Louis Oosthuizen 28-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1
Webb Simpson 33-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Paul Casey 35-1
Abraham Ancer 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Shane Lowry 40-1
Joaquin Niemann 40-1
Harris English 40-1
Kevin Na 50-1
Sam Burns 50-1
Sungjae Im 50-1
Cameron Tringale 66-1
Jason Kokrak 66-1
Russell Henley 66-1
Erik Van Rooyen 70-1
Harold Varner 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Alex Noren 80-1
Sergio Garcia 80-1
Cameron Davis 80-1
Kevin Streelman 80-1
Billy Horschel 80-1
Kevin Kisner 80-1
Keegan Bradley 80-1
Branden Grace 100-1
Maverick McNealy 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Mackenzie Hughes 100-1
Sebastian Munoz 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Charley Hoffman 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Marc Leishman 125-1
Lee Westwood 125-1
Max Homa 125-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Carlos Ortiz 125-1
Ryan Palmer 125-1
Charl Schwartzel 150-1
Talor Gooch 150-1
Harry Higgs 150-1
Aaron Wise 150-1
Tom Hoge 150-1
Chris Kirk 150-1
Lucas Glover 200-1
Patton Kizzire 200-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1
Robert Streb 250-1
Hudson Swafford 250-1
Matt Jones 250-1
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